Mariners end Yankees' seven-game win streak
Baseball Betting Lines
07/02/2009 - Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Russell Branyan belted a two-run homer and the Mariners pounded CC Sabathia early on the way to an 8-4 win, ending New York's winning streak at seven contests.
Franklin Gutierrez had three hits, including a solo homer, and Ichiro Suzuki doubled twice and drove in two runs for the Mariners, who had lost their previous 10 games in the Bronx.
Chris Woodward also had two RBI for Seattle, which won for the eighth time in its last 12 contests overall. The Mariners also averted a sweep in the finale of the three-game series.
Jason Vargas allowed four hits and four runs over the first four frames in the start for the Mariners. Miguel Batista (5-2) threw two hitless innings to get the win.
Hideki Matsui belted a two-run homer and drove in three runs for the Yankees, while Robinson Cano had three hits and scored twice.
Sabathia (7-5) was charged with 10 hits and six runs over 5 2/3 innings. He also walked three and struck out eight and lost for just the second time in his last 11 starts.
Matsui's homer to right field in the fourth had the Yankees within 6-4.
Seattle wasted a bases-loaded chance in the sixth, but then added to their lead in the ninth off Alfredo Aceves. Suzuki reached safely on first baseman Mark Teixeira's throwing error.
Branyan, who had a career-high 10-game hitting streak snapped by striking out four times Wednesday night, then smoked the first pitch over the wall in center. It was the first home run hit off the glass facing of the Mohegan Sun Sports Bar at Yankee Stadium.
David Aardsma nearly loaded the bases with nobody out in the bottom of the ninth, giving up singles to Cano and Nick Swisher to begin the frame. Matsui then flied out to center field in a 10-pitch at-bat. Melky Cabrera also flied out and pinch-hitter Jorge Posada fanned to end the game.
Suzuki started the game with a double, stole third with one out and scored on a Jose Lopez groundout.
Seattle expanded the margin to 3-0 in the second. Gutierrez homered to left field. Kenji Johjima and Ryan Langerhans followed with singles before Woodward lifted a sacrifice fly.
A Swisher sac fly got the Yankees on the scoreboard in the bottom of the frame, and a dropped ball by Suzuki in right field allowed Cano to score for a one-run difference.
Woodward's RBI single and a Suzuki two-run double to the gap in left-center increased Seattle's lead to 6-2.
Game Notes
The start of the game was delayed 36 minutes due to threatening weather...Actor Jack Nicholson was in attendance, sitting in the lower level behind home plate...The Mariners play a three-game series in Boston this weekend, while the Yankees host Toronto in a four-game set...Teixeira had gone 72 games at first base without committing an error this season. It was the longest current errorless stretch for any major league infielder and the longest in one season for a Yankees first baseman since Tino Martinez (82) in 1996. This was his first error since August 19, 2008...Seattle beat the Yankees for just the third time in the last 14 matchups...Suzuki recorded his major league-leading 37th multi-hit game this season and has yet to post consecutive hitless games in 2009...Branyan hit his team-leading 20th home run of the season...Gutierrez had his third three-hit game in his last five contests.
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Sportsbook Betting Lines
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Why Sports Betting Lines Change
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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